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BLBDBlue Bird Corp

Industrials · Construction/Ag Equipment/Trucks · Small

$57.73+1.76%
As of 23 Oct 2026Mkt cap $2.0B
Stage 13
WATCH
Fundamentals
56.6/75
Technical
7.5/15
Independent
64.1/90

GCAE viewbusiness is credible but technical recovery is not yet actionable

Price

1M
+3.9%
3M
−24.1%
6M
−11.2%
1Y
+4.7%

Financials & valuation

Cached filing evidence · as of 2026-10-02

Valuation

P/E
7.0xHist median 13.0x
Forward P/E
—No validated forward-estimate source
Price / FCF
12.4x
FCF yield
8.1%

Quality

ROIC
100.9%
Operating margin
10.3%
FCF margin
10.4%
Current ratio
1.7x

Growth

Revenue growth
+9.9%Latest FY YoY
Revenue CAGR
+21.3%
EPS CAGR
+129.0%
FCF CAGR
+17.3%

Capital

Share-count trend
+1.0%3Y annualised
Net cash
$138M-0.8x OCF

Annual trend

CAGR 2021–2025
+21.3%
Latest · 2025
$1B
YoY
+9.9%
Quality Research
MIXED
Acceleration Radar
FUNDAMENTAL GATE FAIL
THE ONE
NOT FLAGGED
Final / Opportunity
NOT FLAGGED

Key takeaway

Blue Bird committed an estimated $300 million to a new one-million-square-foot multi-powertrain Type C bus facility in Georgia. This materially raises capacity optionality and capital-at-risk; MIXED remains appropriate pending demand and return evidence.

Unresolved question

No reliable unresolved question is available from the current committed evidence.

Watch next

  • Facility build schedule and budget
  • Orders excluding grant-funded electric buses
  • Normalized capacity utilization and margins
More details & evidence

Production decision

Stage 13
WATCH
Technical state
approaching-support
Rotation
headwind
Evidence
fresh

Presentation freshness

Stage 11 market
2026-10-23 · Massive
Financial cache
2026-10-02
Quality Research
CURRENT
THE ONE
NOT FLAGGED

Authority

Company page
Presentation only
Scores
Frozen GCAE production outputs
Research
Research-only lanes; no score override
Private portfolio
Not loaded